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Around 7.5-50 million seasonal migrants could miss out on voting this Lok Sabha election. Although it is tough to arrive at an exact figure in this wide range, going by the average, a number equal to or more than the electorate of Jharkhand may not vote. The figures were arrived at considering the 64th round of the National Sample Survey, which says there are 15 million short-term migrants, a 2009 UNDP paper which estimates 100 million ‘circular’ migrants and a 2011 survey by five NGOs that found 48 per cent respondents voted in the 2009 Lok Sabha elections. A micro study by Rajasthan-based Aajeevika Bureau and four other NGOs across 15 sites in five states with 686 respondents validates this. Data revealed that 65 per cent of respondents voted in the last panchayat elections and 48 per cent in the last Lok Sabha elections. From Panchayat to Vidhan Sabha to Lok Sabha elections, participation dips 10.5 per cent at each step, notes the report ‘Political Inclusion of Seasonal Migrant Workers in India.’
Keywords
internal migrants, seasonal migrants, Lok Sabha, election, NSSO, UNDP, survey, Aajeevika Bureau, vote
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